| Futures
Prices, Spread, Basis and Commitment of Traders... |
|
The Futures Spread and
Basis are... values based
on the differences between the bid and ask, and the spot price
of silver and the futures price quotes of silver. The 'futures
spread' is first and
primarily, the difference between the 'bid and ask' quoted
by the market makers for any given month and year of a contract...
and second, can be thought of as the actual difference (plus
or minus) between the current settlement price and the settlement
price in forward months or years, measured in cents or dollars
- though this measurement is more often thought of as the 'basis'.
The 'basis', while strictly a measure of
the difference between prices of near and distant price quotes,
is really more comprehensive in its consideration about that
spread over time and the relative interrelationships between
those values, particularly the near and distant time frames,
and indications of contango and backwardation. For a fuller
discussion... Explanation
of Silver Basis - SilverAxis.com...
The Commitment of Traders is... simply a
running tally of the positioning of the two main categories
of traders in the silver market; speculators (both small and
larger accounts by individuals or funds with little physical
interest in the underlying commodity) and commercial interests
(generally larger accounts representing the actual physical
buyers of the underlying commodity). For a fuller discussion... Silver
Futures COT - Adam Hamilton
|
|
Futures
Settlement / 1 year increments - (Basis
in Parenthesis)
| Date (as
of) |
Current |
Dec - 08 |
Dec -
09 |
Dec -
10 |
Dec -
11 |
Dec - 12 |
| Sept 09 / 08 |
10.84 |
10.80 (-.04) |
11.12 (.32) |
11.44 (.60) |
11.83 (.98) |
12.28 (1.44) |
| Sept 19 / 08 |
12.58 |
12.48 (-.10) |
12.80 (.22) |
13.16 (.58) |
13.54 (.96) |
14.00 (1.42) |
| Sept 26 / 08 |
13.31 |
13.50 (.19) |
13.88 (.57) |
14.27 (.96) |
14.68 (1.37) |
15.13 (1.82) |
| Oct 04 / 08 |
11.16 |
11.29 (.13) |
11.46 (.30) |
11.73 (.57) |
12.59 (1.43) |
14.93 (3.64) |
| Oct 11 / 08 |
10.17 |
10.60 (.43) |
10.85 (.68) |
11.15 (.98) |
11.52 (1.35) |
11.98 (1.81) |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comex - Silver 5000 ounce contract
|
Commitment
of Traders - (Change listed in Parenthesis)
| Date |
Speculators
-
long |
Speculators
-
short |
Commercials
-
long |
Commercials
-
short |
Open
Interest |
| Aug 12 / 08 |
37,348 (-2,475) |
9,622 (1,442) |
58,346 (9,083) |
103,117 (1,808) |
183,064 |
| Aug 19 / 08 |
32,718 (-4,629) |
9,907 (284) |
63,301 (4,956) |
103,659 (542) |
184,503 |
| Aug 26 / 08 |
31,858 (-860) |
11,522 (1,615) |
51,250 (-12,051) |
89,017 (-14,642) |
162,636 |
| Sept 02 / 08 |
32,650 (792) |
12,808 (1286) |
46,015 (-5235) |
79.339 (-9678) |
160,000 |
| Sept 09 / 08 |
30,523 (-2,127) |
13,923 (1,115) |
47,119 (1,104) |
77,935 (-1,404) |
157,065 |
| Sept 16 / 08 |
29,525 (-998) |
14,413 (490) |
46,392 (-727) |
76,767 (-1,168) |
156,143 |
| Sept 26 / 08 |
27,740 (-1,785) |
12,844 (-1,569) |
42,225 (-4,167) |
71,630 (-5,137) |
148,066 |
| Oct 04 / 08 |
24,874 (-2,866) |
11,797 (-1,047) |
45,709 (3,484) |
71,144 (-486) |
145,848 |
| Oct 11 / 08 |
23,174 (-1,700) |
11,517 (-281) |
47,184 (1,474) |
73,530 (2,385) |
143,878 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
Contract of 5000 Troy Ounces
http://www.cftc.gov/dea/options/deacmxsof.htm |
|